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The House Committee on Energy and Commerce
Subcommittee on Energy and Air Quality
May 14, 2003
10:00 AM
2322 Rayburn House Office Building
Mr. Chairman, members of the subcommittee, ladies and gentlemen:
Let me begin by commending the subcommittee for holding hearings on the UN's
Oil for Food Program. It is a subject that is both important and - particularly
given the Administration's efforts to seek another UN Security Council
resolution dealing in large part with the program -- timely.
Out the outset let me stress that my views do not necessarily reflect those of
the Baker Institute for Public Policy; they are entirely my own. I would,
however, like to thank my colleague at the institute, Amy Myers Jaffe, for her
extensive and invaluable assistance in preparing this testimony.
In my remarks today, I will outline the rationale for the creation of the Oil
for Food Program under UN auspices, explain how the program functioned, discuss
the impact the program had on the stability of international oil markets, and
conclude with some closing observations on the proper course for handling the
future sales of Iraqi oil. I will not specifically address the elements of the
US draft resolution currently being discussed at the UN Security Council. But my
comments will make clear that I support many of the draft resolution's main
features related to the Oil for Food Program.
Before I turn to these details, I would like to first emphasize several critical
points that will, I hope, be useful at the subcommittee considers this important
issue.
Key Points
1) Whatever decisions are taken on the Oil for Food Program and the resumption
of Iraqi oil exports, the goal must be the prompt and adequate supply of
humanitarian and reconstruction aid to the Iraqi people. Their interests must be
paramount; it is the current and future well-being of Iraqis, after all, which
is at stake. Any proposal on handling Iraq's oil exports must be judged in this
light.
2) The Oil for Food Program was created for the purpose of stopping the regime
of Saddam Hussein from acquiring funds to purchase weapons of mass destruction
and further expand its traditional military might. With the fall of Saddam's
regime, the purpose to this program no longer exists. It should be phased out.
3) Iraq faces daunting security and structural challenges in its efforts to
resume uninterrupted oil exports. It seems possible that an interim Iraqi
government or authority could be in place before oil starts to flow in
significant amounts. The United States should make it a priority to help set up
an interim government that would be able to handle a resumption of oil sales,
while encouraging an international effort to provide relief until oil begins to
flow.
4) Oversight of oil revenue is best handled by multinational agencies such as
the International Monetary Fund and World Bank. The Fund will presumably be
involved in such critical matters as rescheduling Iraqi debt in any case; the
Bank will no doubt be called upon to play an important role in Iraqi
reconstruction. I note that the Administration supports an oversight function
for the Fund and the Bank (as well as the UN) in its proposal to create an
"Iraqi Assistance Fund" to serve as a repository for the country's oil
revenues.
5) Significant funds remain in the escrow accounts under the current UN Oil for
Food Program. These funds need to be disbursed to pay for emergency aid to Iraq.
It might be best to permit the UN to continue managing these funds, on an
expedited and transparent basis, until the balance is liquidated. I note again
that the US proposal at the UN suggests something along these lines.
6) The Iraqi oil sector possesses a large number of highly competent
professionals and technicians, almost all untainted by association with human
rights abuses under Saddam's regime. These individuals can be relied upon to
conduct the sales and marketing of oil by the country and to manage the
operations, maintenance, repair and reconstruction of Iraq's petroleum sector.
Comprehensive involvement of Iraq's oil technocracy is extremely important for
practical and political reasons. Many senior members of Iraq's oil elite are
nationalistic in their attitudes. They - like many other observers in Iraq and
around the world -- will be extremely sensitive to any suggestion that the
United States or our coalition partners view Iraq's oil resources as "the
spoils of war."
7) The coalition has a vital short- to medium-term role to play in providing
security to Iraqi professionals and technicians working in the oil sector, as
well as protecting the actual fields and key infrastructure. The lack of
security for these workers and their families represents a major impediment to
resuming normal operations in the Iraqi oil sector today.
Background
UN Resolution No. 986, which was adopted by the Security Council in April 1995
and finally implemented in December 1996, enabled Baghdad to sell specified
dollar amounts of crude oil over six-month periods, in part for the purchase of
humanitarian supplies for distribution in Iraq under UN supervision. In December
1999, the Security Council voted to remove limits on the amount of oil Iraq
could export as Baghdad's production capacity was enabling it to reach the
previously established sales ceiling of $5.2 billion per six-month period.
Roughly 72% of the total revenues from the Oil for Food program have been
allocated toward humanitarian needs. The remaining proceeds help pay
compensation for Gulf War victims (25% since December 2000), pipeline transit
fees to Turkey, spare parts and maintenance for the oil sector, funding for
UNMOVIC and administrative and operational costs for the United Nations.
UN supervision included monitoring of Iraq's crude oil supply contracts to
ensure at-the-market pricing (to discourage side, kickback payments); monitoring
export shipping volumes at Iraq's main port of Mina Al-Bakr and at the Turkish
pipeline outlet at Ceyhan (to discourage smuggling); management of the escrow
account for oil revenue receipts and humanitarian aid disbursements; and
oversight of contracting for the importation of goods to ensure that no banned
materials reached Iraq.
Oil sales activities under Oil for Food were handled directly by members of the
Iraqi government State Oil Marketing Organization (SOMO) and had no UN
involvement. Rights to sell the oil were retained by the sovereign Iraqi state
and not transferred to the United Nations. The rights to exported oil were
transferred directly from SOMO to the purchaser. Iraqi government officials also
selected the goods and vendors for the importation of humanitarian assistance.
The UN's role was limited to monitoring these activities to ensure that no
transactions occurred that would allow Iraq to continue to fund and develop its
weapons program.
Since the Oil for Food Program first went into effect on December 10, 1996,
Baghdad has exported around 3.4 billion barrels of oil under UN supervision
worth about $64 billion dollars. About $44 billion worth of humanitarian supply
contracts including $3.8 billion worth of oil spare parts and equipment, have
been approved by the 661 Sanctions Committee and "fast-tracked" by the
UN Office of the Iraq Programme. In mid-2002, around $22.6 billion worth of
humanitarian supplies and equipment had actually been delivered to Iraq,
including $1.4 billion worth of oil industry equipment, while another $10.5
billion worth of humanitarian supplies, including $1.7 billion worth of oil
industry equipment, were in the production and delivery process. The UN says
that about $10.1 billion worth of supplies are currently in the pipeline.
Broadly speaking, the program was successful in depriving the Hussein regime of
large revenues to use to fund weapons and military programs. However, government
and industry estimates suggest that Iraq earned over $8 billion in revenues
since 1997 through illegal smuggling and hidden surcharges.
It is ludicrous, given the US and coalition presence in Iraq, to suggest that
Iraqi oil revenues will now be used to acquire weapons of mass destruction. In
addition, there is no precedent for the United Nations to monitor national oil
sales to prevent "corruption." It is my opinion that issues of
transparency and accountability in handling Iraq's oil revenues would best be
handled by multinational institutions normally charged with financial matters
and economic development - notably the International Monetary Fund and the World
Bank.
Over the course of its existence, the politics of the Oil for Food program has
served as a key driver of oil price volatility. Concerns about the reliability
of Iraq's UN-monitored oil exports were a major factor causing swings in the
market in recent years. Periods of program evaluation and renewal debate
prompted severe disturbances in international oil prices as oil traders worried
that unsettled UN politics might result in a sudden -- albeit temporary --
cut-off of Iraqi oil exports. Saddam Hussein also demonstrated a willingness to
use the "oil weapon," sporadically refusing to continue to participate
in Oil for Food for weeks or months in order to manipulate oil markets and
display his personal power. It is important that Iraq's new oil regime be
designed to create a transparent, predictable environment where changes in the
flow of exports do not disrupt markets and where a UN process cannot influence
the stability of those flows.
Ironically, Saddam Hussein's political use of Iraq's petroleum sector did not
result in the kind of damage to oil field capacity that might have been
expected. This was due in large part to the capability and dedication of Iraq's
oil professionals, who managed remarkably well in an atmosphere marked by
Saddam's Hussein's volatile interventions, an almost complete lack of foreign
investment, and a crippling shortage of spare parts and maintenance equipment.
This bodes well for the future prospects of the Iraqi industry. Failure to
utilize Iraq's oil professionals in managing the production and marketing of the
country's petroleum could result in a serious backlash in Iraq and a public
relations problem around the world. Given suspicions (pervasive, if unfounded)
that the United States invaded Iraq to control its oil, our actions in regard to
the Iraqi oil sector must be above reproach.
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