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Subcommittee on Energy and Air Quality
February 13, 2002
1:30 PM
2322 Rayburn House Office Building
Mr.
Chairman and Members:
Thank
you for the opportunity to speak to the committee today
My name
is Raymond Plank, and I am the Chairman and CEO of Apache Corporation. In five decades in the oil and gas business, Apache has grown
from one of the smallest to one of the larger independent producers.
Natural
gas is the single most important domestic energy source - an abundant resource
that warms millions of homes, fuels much of America's industrial base and
plays a large and growing role in the nation's electricity industry. However,
while many believe natural gas is the fuel of the future, I believe that future
is in doubt because of the flawed structure of the natural gas market in this
country.
The fact
is the nation's energy markets skated by and escaped a disaster in the wake of
Enron's collapse. Why? Certainly not because this market serves the nation's
needs. No, we avoided a supply crunch because the recession and one of the
warmest winters in recent history combined to keep demand in check. If the
economy had been more robust, or if weather conditions had been different, the
story could have been far different.
This is
an issue that should be important to the other members of this panel because
they have developed business plans, raised billions of dollars from investors
and erected power plants based on the availability of reliable supplies of
natural gas. The current market, marked by excessive price volatility, has
undermined the ability of Apache and other North American producers to meet
their requirements.
Mr.
Chairman, I know you have worked hard to introduce competition into the
nation's energy markets. But deregulation has been hijacked by traders, hedge
funds and others who profit from volatility and who scorn the hardworking men
and women who produce this important resource. If you don't fix the natural
gas market, then all your efforts to bring competition to the electricity market
will be for naught because natural gas is the fuel of choice for new generating
capacity.
The
uncertainty in the gas market caused by excessive price volatility endangers the
infrastructure required to explore for and produce natural gas. Every time the
price goes down and Apache and other companies cut back, skilled workers, from
roustabouts to engineers to scientists, leave the industry. Drilling rigs are
taken out of service and cannibalized for spare parts. Marginal wells are shut
in, never to return to production.
Right
now, the industry is not drilling enough wells to maintain production at current
levels.
Yes, Mr.
Chairman, Enron is gone, but the damage has been done to a vital element to the
nation's economic security. In some ways, this is a homeland security issue:
There is a sleeper cell out there, a ticking time bomb set to wreak havoc when
the economy comes back and demand increases.
I'd
like to give you some background on how we came to our position.
For the
last 10 years, our ability to find and produce the natural gas this country
needs has been crippled by increasing price volatility. North America is a
mature producing province, which means that while there is still a great deal of
natural gas to be found, producing it requires better technology, better
science, more time and more money. Most
of these projects take from 12 months to two years to complete.
It is harder and harder to commit capital to these kinds of projects when
we can't forecast what the price of our product is going to be tomorrow, much
less a year from now.
Natural
gas prices, like all commodity prices, run in cycles. That's been true as long
as I can remember. Recently, however, as hedge funds and traders have come to
dominate the market, the cycles have become shorter in duration and more
pronounced. In press reports and presentations to analysts, these traders
acknowledge that they derive their profits from price volatility.
The
casino mentality that has taken over the energy markets has a real impact on the
consumers as well as producers.
Let me
give you a real example that we all remember.
In
December 1999, we were paid less than $2 for a thousand cubic feet of gas. In
January 2001, the price climbed to nearly $10, only to fall back below $2 by
October. To put that in perspective, think about the impact on the stock market
- and the American economy - if the Dow Jones Industrial Average took a trip
from 10,000 to 47,000 and back to 10,000 in a year and a half. What would your
constituents be telling you if the price of gasoline jumped from $1.20 per
gallon to $6 and then back down to $1.20?
Last
winter's price spike dealt a damaging blow to the industrial economy which in
total accounts for 40 percent of U.S. natural gas consumption.
Natural gas-intensive industries like steel, plastics and petrochemicals
significantly curtailed or shut in production in response to extremely high gas
costs. Some of this demand has been
permanently displaced. In addition,
natural gas volatility played a key role in California's energy problems.
The consequences for the economy due to overheated gas prices are
painfully clear.
But when
the price falls back to $2 per thousand cubic feet, the capacity of the industry
to supply natural gas is diminished - permanently. One consequence is a brain
drain in the industry. The average age of oil and gas workers is 48 years old.
As young engineers and scientists seek opportunities elsewhere, the nation will
lose its technological edge in this industry.
When
prices fall, companies like Apache reduce their drilling expenditures and seek
more profitable avenues for investment, usually overseas.
As a
consequence, I can assure you that the next price spike is just around the
corner. It may not come until this fall or next winter, but it is inevitable and
it could be severe.
As much
as we know about getting natural gas out of the ground, there are many things
about this market that have been hidden from view by powerful insiders who
profit from its opacity. We can't find the answers because we don't have
subpoena power. It's up to you to break through some of these Chinese walls
and get to the bottom of this structurally flawed market.
Now,
I'd like to discuss some of the most glaring problems with this market and our
suggestions on fixing it.
Every
month, the price we get for our natural gas production is based on indices
published in one or more trade publications. The reporters who compile these
price indices are hard-working, honest journalists, but their sources - the
pipelines, utilities and marketers - are under no obligation to provide
complete or even accurate information. Similarly, the American Gas
Association's weekly storage report became a major market event because it was
a proxy for supply and demand data but it was based on voluntary, self-serving
data.
In
a market as important as the natural gas market, the government should collect
and disseminate real-time information on natural gas supply and demand from
market participants, with penalties imposed for failing to file accurate
reports.
Even
some energy marketers acknowledge that the current rules give unfair advantages
to integrated energy companies with their regulated pipelines, unregulated
marketing affiliates and electric generating units. While allegedly separate,
these people go to work in the same office building, share coffee - and
benefit from the same corporate incentive systems.
The
current rules governing the conduct of regulated and unregulated affiliates are
weak and subject to abuse. To prevent the trading of insider information, these
functions should be geographically separated and their dealings limited to real
transactions with real money changing hands. If companies abuse these rules,
they should be required to divest their unregulated affiliates.
Online
trading platforms, which operate outside the longstanding framework that
regulates commodities exchanges, provide their operators with vast information
about the trading positions of other market players which can be used to
manipulate the market.
These
online platforms are exchanges; they should be subject to similar regulation to
ensure fair treatment of all parties. In the equities market, there is a basic
rule that agents cannot put their trades ahead of their clients' transactions;
similar rules should guide the conduct of the energy markets.
The
bright light of Wall Street cast on energy marketers in the aftermath of the
Enron collapse revealed them to be overleveraged. They rely on mark-to-market
accounting of energy contracts that allows them to book the revenues and profits
of long-term contracts up front, long before the revenues are collected and the
profits realized. Though they appear profitable on the surface, a closer
examination reveals that the profits may prove to be illusory. The current
system incentivizes traders to book deal after deal, seeking profits from every
move in the market and distorting legitimate supply and demand signals.
End
mark-to-market accounting and require traders to book their revenues and profits
when they are realized. Impose capital requirements to assure customers that the
traders will be there to deliver the gas and electricity.
Some
would have you believe that the fact that a company as large as Enron could fail
without causing any disruption in the energy markets is a signal that these
markets are deep and liquid. I disagree. I think it demonstrates that Enron and
others like it add no value.
I also
believe that failure to reform this market will cause lasting damage to the
nation's energy infrastructure and economic health.
Mr.
Chairman, you have before you the record of the fall of Enron - the
self-dealing, the subterfuge and the apparent fraud. I think it's fair to ask
whether the same behavior permeated Enron's biggest business - its natural
gas and electricity trading operations. Once your committee answers that
question, I hope you will conduct a thorough examination of the structure of the
energy market and make the changes necessary to ensure that there are not other
Enrons out there, waiting to happen.
The task
before you is clear: To introduce effective oversight and transparency in this
market and restore the environment that will encourage producers to make the
investments to meet the nation's vital energy needs.
Thank
you very much for the opportunity to be here today.
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